Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.98
FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBC Melgar welcome UCV Moquegua to Estadio de la UNSA for a Primera División fixture on Monday 16 February (00:30 WAT). In the table, FBC Melgar are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBC Melgar 2.1 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBC Melgar 71%, draw 18%, UCV Moquegua 11%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBC Melgar 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBC Melgar71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.75
UCV Moquegua11%fair 9.25 · @13.00
2.71Expected goals
2.08FBC Melgar xG
0.63UCV Moquegua xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 2.1 – 0.6 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Attack vs Primera División average
+13%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.91
0.55
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✓
71%
1.41
1.18
Double chance
FBC Melgar or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.50
Draw no bet
FBC Melgar (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
FBC Melgar -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
FBC Melgar to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
FBC Melgar ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.98
–
Recent results
FBC Melgar
No recent results on record.
UCV Moquegua
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBC Melgar and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and UCV Moquegua 11%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la UNSA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
