Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win ✓77% · @1.20
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Universitario vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 March the Primera División brings Universitario against FC Cajamarca at Estadio Monumental. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Universitario are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universitario 2.8 xG, FC Cajamarca 0.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universitario 77%, draw 15%, FC Cajamarca 8%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universitario to win (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universitario 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universitario77%fair 1.29 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.83 · @5.50
FC Cajamarca8%fair 12.49 · @12.00
3.63Expected goals
2.79Universitario xG
0.84FC Cajamarca xG
54%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
4–07%
From our goals model: Universitario 2.8 – 0.8 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
+36%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+41%
Our expected goals here
3.35
1.01
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Double chance
Universitario or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Universitario -1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
First team to score
Universitario to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
54%
1.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Universitario – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Universitario to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Universitario vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Universitario have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Cajamarca 8%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Universitario 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs FC Cajamarca?
Universitario vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
