Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCienciano to win ✓59% · @1.40
Double chanceCienciano or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Cienciano vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Monday 9 March: Cienciano v Sport Boys in the Primera División, played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Cienciano, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportivo Garcilaso, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sport Boys, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UCV Moquegua, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 1.6 xG, Sport Boys 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 59%, draw 25%, Sport Boys 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 1–0 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cienciano59%fair 1.70 · @1.40
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @4.35
Sport Boys16%fair 6.11 · @8.00
2.51Expected goals
1.60Cienciano xG
0.91Sport Boys xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cienciano 1.6 – 0.9 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
59%
1.70
1.40
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Cienciano (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Sport Boys +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
First team to score
Cienciano to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✓
33%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Cienciano – last 3
WDL
28 Feb
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Universitario
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 3
DLW
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Atletico Grau
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Cienciano vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sport Boys 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs Sport Boys?
Cienciano vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
