Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to face Cusco on Sunday 8 March in the Primera División, with Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Cusco are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alianza Atletico, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cusco 1.4 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cusco 50%, draw 25%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%.
Lower-risk option: Cusco or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cusco or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cusco 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cusco50%fair 1.98 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Deportivo Garcilaso24%fair 4.11 · @3.85
2.53Expected goals
1.45Cusco xG
1.08Deportivo Garcilaso xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cusco 1.4 – 1.1 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.32
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
50%
1.98
1.90
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Cusco (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Garcilaso +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Cusco to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Cusco – last 2
WL
23 Feb
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 3
LLL
4 Mar
@ Alianza Atletico
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Cusco or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Cusco have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Garcilaso 24%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Cusco 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
