Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceAtletico Grau or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the Primera División brings Atletico Grau against FC Cajamarca at Estadio Campeones del 36. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Comerciantes Unidos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.8 xG, FC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 58%, draw 23%, FC Cajamarca 19%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Grau or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Atletico Grau to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Grau or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.35
FC Cajamarca19%fair 5.19 · @4.40
2.69Expected goals
1.80Atletico Grau xG
0.89FC Cajamarca xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.8 – 0.9 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
-16%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+41%
Our expected goals here
2.08
0.96
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.93
Draw no bet
Atletico Grau (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
FC Cajamarca +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Atletico Grau to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Atletico Grau ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Atletico Grau – last 3
LLL
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 2
LL
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Atletico Grau or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Cajamarca 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
