FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 13 March: FC Cajamarca v Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Cajamarca, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Grau, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Grau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Comerciantes Unidos, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 1.6 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 49%, draw 25%, Comerciantes Unidos 25%.
Lower-risk option: FC Cajamarca or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cajamarca49%fair 2.02 · @1.72
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.60
Comerciantes Unidos25%fair 3.95 · @4.75
2.86Expected goals
1.58FC Cajamarca xG
1.28Comerciantes Unidos xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.6 – 1.3 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+41%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.62
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cajamarca to win✗
49%
2.02
1.72
Double chance
FC Cajamarca or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Cajamarca (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Comerciantes Unidos +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
FC Cajamarca to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cajamarca / FT FC Cajamarca✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
FC Cajamarca – last 3
LLL
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 3
WLD
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cajamarca and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Comerciantes Unidos 25%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?
FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
