ADT vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBC Melgar travel to face ADT on Friday 20 March in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ADT, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Juan Pablo II College, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
FBC Melgar, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Grau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.1 xG, FBC Melgar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 33%, draw 27%, FBC Melgar 40%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT33%fair 2.99 · @2.68
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.25
FBC Melgar40%fair 2.50 · @2.56
2.44Expected goals
1.13ADT xG
1.31FBC Melgar xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: ADT 1.1 – 1.3 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADT
FBC Melgar
Attack vs Primera División average
-23%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.36
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✗
40%
2.50
2.56
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
FBC Melgar (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
ADT +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
FBC Melgar to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
ADT – last 3
LDD
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FBC Melgar – last 4
DLLW
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and FBC Melgar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ADT vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers ADT have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FBC Melgar 40%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ADT vs FBC Melgar?
ADT vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
