Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Boys welcome FBC Melgar to Estadio Miguel Grau for a Primera División fixture on Wednesday 15 April (02:00 WAT). In the table, Sport Boys are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sport Boys, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sport Huancayo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FBC Melgar, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ADT, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Boys 1.3 xG, FBC Melgar 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Boys 42%, draw 27%, FBC Melgar 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Boys 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Boys42%fair 2.38 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.35
FBC Melgar31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
2.43Expected goals
1.34Sport Boys xG
1.08FBC Melgar xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.3 – 1.1 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.28
0.98
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✗
42%
2.38
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Draw no bet
Sport Boys (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
FBC Melgar +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Sport Boys to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Sport Boys – last 6
WLLDLW
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Atletico Grau
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FBC Melgar – last 5
DDLLW
20 Mar
@ ADT
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and FBC Melgar.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FBC Melgar 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
