Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 20 April the Primera División brings Cienciano against UCV Moquegua at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Cienciano, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Puerto Cabello, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
UCV Moquegua, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Juan Pablo II College, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cienciano, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 2.0 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 64%, draw 22%, UCV Moquegua 14%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cienciano64%fair 1.57 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.80
UCV Moquegua14%fair 7.23 · @7.10
2.76Expected goals
1.96Cienciano xG
0.80UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cienciano 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.66
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
64%
1.57
1.39
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Cienciano (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Cienciano -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Cienciano to score first✗
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Cienciano ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Cienciano – last 6
WDWWWW
17 Apr
vs Puerto Cabello
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Juventud
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs ADT
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Cusco
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 5
WWDWL
14 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV Moquegua 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
