Sport Boys vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Boys welcome Universitario to Estadio Nacional de Lima for a Primera División fixture on Tuesday 12 May (02:30 WAT). In the table, Sport Boys are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Sport Boys, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juan Pablo II College, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Universitario, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Coquimbo Unido, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Boys 1.2 xG, Universitario 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Boys 28%, draw 26%, Universitario 46%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Boys 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Boys28%fair 3.61 · @4.40
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Universitario46%fair 2.15 · @1.86
2.59Expected goals
1.25Sport Boys xG
1.34Universitario xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.2 – 1.3 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Boys
Universitario
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.18
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
46%
2.15
1.86
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Sport Boys +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Universitario to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Sport Boys – last 6
DLWLLD
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 6
LWLWLL
8 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Club Nacional
4–2
W
27 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ FBC Melgar
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Coquimbo Unido
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and Universitario.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Universitario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Universitario?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universitario 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Universitario?
Sport Boys vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional de Lima.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
