Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to face Comerciantes Unidos on Monday 25 May in the Primera División, with Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to ADT, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UTC Cajamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 42%, draw 27%, Deportivo Garcilaso 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comerciantes Unidos42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
Deportivo Garcilaso31%fair 3.23 · @3.40
2.54Expected goals
1.38Comerciantes Unidos xG
1.17Deportivo Garcilaso xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 – 1.2 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Attack vs Primera División average
+2%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.52
1.32
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comerciantes Unidos to win✗
42%
2.38
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Comerciantes Unidos (draw no bet)
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Garcilaso +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Comerciantes Unidos to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
LLWDWW
17 May
@ ADT
0–2
L
2 May
@ Cienciano
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
WWWWLL
17 May
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
11 May
vs Alianza Atletico
2–1
W
4 May
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–0
W
28 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Universitario
1–4
L
18 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes Unidos and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Garcilaso 31%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
