Value bet: Juan Pablo II College to win @ 3.85 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✗43% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13
Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the Primera División brings Juan Pablo II College against FBC Melgar at Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Juan Pablo II College are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Juan Pablo II College, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Boys, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
FBC Melgar, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UTC Cajamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juan Pablo II College 1.4 xG, FBC Melgar 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juan Pablo II College 32%, draw 25%, FBC Melgar 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Juan Pablo II College to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juan Pablo II College 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juan Pablo II College32%fair 3.15 · @3.85
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
FBC Melgar43%fair 2.30 · @1.94
2.86Expected goals
1.45Juan Pablo II College xG
1.41FBC Melgar xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 1.4 – 1.4 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.60
1.13
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✗
43%
2.30
1.94
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
FBC Melgar (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
FBC Melgar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
First team to score
Juan Pablo II College to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juan Pablo II College / FT Juan Pablo II College✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
Juan Pablo II College – last 5
DLLWW
26 Apr
@ Sport Boys
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ UCV Moquegua
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
FBC Melgar – last 6
WLWWDD
4 May
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
28 Apr
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Universitario
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Sport Boys
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ ADT
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juan Pablo II College and FBC Melgar.
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FBC Melgar 43%.
How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar?
Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
