Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✓57% · @1.63
Double chanceAtletico Grau or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 29 May the Primera División brings Atletico Grau against UCV Moquegua at Estadio Campeones del 36. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cusco, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico Grau, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.5 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 57%, draw 26%, UCV Moquegua 16%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Grau or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau57%fair 1.74 · @1.63
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.65
UCV Moquegua16%fair 6.13 · @5.50
2.21Expected goals
1.53Atletico Grau xG
0.68UCV Moquegua xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.5 – 0.7 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Attack vs Primera División average
-16%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.63
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win✓
57%
1.74
1.63
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
Atletico Grau (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
UCV Moquegua +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Atletico Grau to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Atletico Grau – last 6
LWWLDW
23 May
@ Cusco
0–1
L
16 May
@ Universitario
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LLLWWD
17 May
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Cienciano
1–2
L
14 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and UCV Moquegua 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
