Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Boys welcome Comerciantes Unidos to Estadio Miguel Grau for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 30 May (23:30 WAT). In the table, Sport Boys are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Sport Boys, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cusco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Garcilaso, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Boys 1.6 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Boys 58%, draw 25%, Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Boys or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Boys 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Boys58%fair 1.71 · @1.66
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Comerciantes Unidos16%fair 6.06 · @5.25
2.37Expected goals
1.58Sport Boys xG
0.79Comerciantes Unidos xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.6 – 0.8 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.89
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✓
58%
1.71
1.66
Double chance
Sport Boys or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Sport Boys (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Comerciantes Unidos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Sport Boys to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Sport Boys – last 6
WDDLWL
17 May
vs Cusco
1–0
W
12 May
vs Universitario
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
DLLWDW
25 May
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–0
D
17 May
@ ADT
0–2
L
2 May
@ Cienciano
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
