Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Campinense to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCampinense to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceCampinense or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Campinense vs Sousa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Campinense welcome Sousa for a Paraibano fixture on Wednesday 18 February (23:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Campinense 1.6 xG, Sousa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Campinense 56%, draw 25%, Sousa 19%.
Lower-risk option: Campinense or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Campinense to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Campinense 1–1 Sousa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Campinense56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.95
Sousa19%fair 5.23 · @3.95
2.42Expected goals
1.61Campinense xG
0.82Sousa xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Campinense 1.6 – 0.8 Sousa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Campinense to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Campinense or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Campinense (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Sousa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Campinense to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Campinense / FT Campinense✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Campinense
No recent results on record.
Sousa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Campinense and Sousa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Campinense vs Sousa?
On our numbers Campinense have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sousa 19%.
How many goals will there be in Campinense vs Sousa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Campinense vs Sousa?
Our predicted score is Campinense 1–1 Sousa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Campinense vs Sousa?
Campinense vs Sousa (Paraibano) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paraibano · Brazil
Confianca PB3
Pombal EC2