Chernomorets 30%Draw 27%Torpedo Moskva 42%Expected goals 0.99 – 1.36
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chernomorets welcome Torpedo Moskva to Centralnyy for a First League fixture on Sunday 1 March (13:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chernomorets 1.0 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chernomorets 30%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moskva 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.08.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chernomorets 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chernomorets30%fair 3.32 · @3.12
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.97
Torpedo Moskva42%fair 2.36 · @2.38
2.35Expected goals
0.99Chernomorets xG
1.36Torpedo Moskva xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Chernomorets 1.0 – 1.4 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chernomorets
Torpedo Moskva
Attack vs First League average
-5%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.96
1.54
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✓
42%
2.36
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.08 ▲
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Chernomorets
No recent results on record.
Torpedo Moskva
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chernomorets and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Chernomorets have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Torpedo Moskva 42%.
How many goals will there be in Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Chernomorets 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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