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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting KC II v Real Monarchs: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Rock Chalk Park
Sporting KC II 31%Draw 21%Real Monarchs 48% Expected goals 1.89 – 2.16
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Monarchs to win ✓48% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.01

Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Monday 9 March: Sporting KC II v Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro, played at Rock Chalk Park. In the table, Sporting KC II are 13th, upper half, on 23 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting KC II 1.9 xG, Real Monarchs 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting KC II 31%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting KC II 2–2 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting KC II31%fair 3.25 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
Real Monarchs48%fair 2.08 · @1.85
4.05Expected goals
1.89Sporting KC II xG
2.16Real Monarchs xG
61%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Sporting KC II 1.9 – 2.2 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Monarchs to win ✓48%2.081.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.64–
Draw no betReal Monarchs (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapSporting KC II +1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.972.05
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
First team to scoreReal Monarchs to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultReal Monarchs ahead at half-time ✓37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Monarchs / FT Real Monarchs ✓28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.01–

Recent results

Sporting KC II – last 1

L
28 Feb@ St. Louis City II0–4L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Real Monarchs

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting KC II and Real Monarchs.

Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?

On our numbers Sporting KC II have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 48%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?

Our predicted score is Sporting KC II 2–2 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?

Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Rock Chalk Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.