Value bet: Ventura County to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Louis City II to win ✓41% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.91
Ventura County vs St. Louis City II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ventura County welcome St. Louis City II to Dignity Health Sports Park for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Monday 16 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Ventura County are 3rd, among the top four, on 53 points after 28 matches; St. Louis City II are 7th (upper half) with 44.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ventura County 2.1 xG, St. Louis City II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ventura County 38%, draw 21%, St. Louis City II 41%.
Price worth noting: Ventura County to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (55%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ventura County 2–1 St. Louis City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ventura County38%fair 2.64 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
St. Louis City II41%fair 2.46 · @1.95
3.68Expected goals
2.08Ventura County xG
1.60St. Louis City II xG
59%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Ventura County 2.1 – 1.6 St. Louis City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City II to win✓
41%
2.46
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
St. Louis City II (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
St. Louis City II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
First team to score
Ventura County to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Ventura County ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ventura County / FT Ventura County✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.91
–
Recent results
Ventura County – last 1
W
2 Mar
vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
St. Louis City II – last 1
W
28 Feb
vs Sporting KC II
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ventura County and St. Louis City II.
What is the prediction for Ventura County vs St. Louis City II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ventura County vs St. Louis City II?
On our numbers Ventura County have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Louis City II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ventura County vs St. Louis City II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventura County vs St. Louis City II?
Our predicted score is Ventura County 2–1 St. Louis City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Ventura County vs St. Louis City II?
Ventura County vs St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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