Tacoma Defiance 30%Draw 24%Austin II 46%Expected goals 1.31 – 1.80
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAustin II to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Austin II travel to face Tacoma Defiance on Monday 23 March in the MLS Next Pro, with Starfire Sports the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Austin II are 1st (leading the league) with 65. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 1.3 xG, Austin II 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 30%, draw 24%, Austin II 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Austin II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacoma Defiance30%fair 3.30 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Austin II46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
3.11Expected goals
1.31Tacoma Defiance xG
1.80Austin II xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.3 – 1.8 Austin II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austin II to win✓
46%
2.17
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Austin II (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Tacoma Defiance +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Austin II to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austin II / FT Austin II✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Tacoma Defiance – last 1
L
9 Mar
@ Houston Dynamo FC II
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Austin II – last 2
WL
16 Mar
vs North Texas
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Minnesota United II
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacoma Defiance and Austin II.
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?
On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austin II 46%.
How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?
Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Austin II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?
Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.