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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tacoma Defiance v Austin II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Starfire Sports
Tacoma Defiance 30%Draw 24%Austin II 46% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.80
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultAustin II to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Austin II travel to face Tacoma Defiance on Monday 23 March in the MLS Next Pro, with Starfire Sports the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Austin II are 1st (leading the league) with 65. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 1.3 xG, Austin II 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 30%, draw 24%, Austin II 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Austin II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacoma Defiance30%fair 3.30 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Austin II46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
3.11Expected goals
1.31Tacoma Defiance xG
1.80Austin II xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.3 – 1.8 Austin II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustin II to win ✓46%2.172.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betAustin II (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapTacoma Defiance +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.661.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreAustin II to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Austin II / FT Austin II ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Tacoma Defiance – last 1

L
9 Mar@ Houston Dynamo FC II0–4L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Austin II – last 2

WL
16 Marvs North Texas1–0W
2 Marvs Minnesota United II2–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tacoma Defiance and Austin II.

Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?

On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austin II 46%.

How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?

Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Austin II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II?

Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.