Value bet: Ventura County to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVentura County to win ✓51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Monday 13 April: Ventura County v Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro, played at Dignity Health Sports Park. In the table, Ventura County are 3rd, among the top four, on 53 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ventura County 2.4 xG, Real Monarchs 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ventura County 51%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 28%.
Price worth noting: Ventura County to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (54%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ventura County 2–1 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ventura County51%fair 1.95 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
Real Monarchs28%fair 3.56 · @2.50
3.77Expected goals
2.39Ventura County xG
1.37Real Monarchs xG
54%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Ventura County 2.4 – 1.4 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ventura County to win✓
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Ventura County (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Ventura County -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
First team to score
Ventura County to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Ventura County ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ventura County / FT Ventura County✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Ventura County – last 2
LW
16 Mar
vs St. Louis City II
2–3
L
2 Mar
vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
4–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Monarchs – last 1
W
9 Mar
@ Sporting KC II
5–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ventura County and Real Monarchs.
What is the prediction for Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
On our numbers Ventura County have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
Our predicted score is Ventura County 2–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New England II1
New York RB II2
Austin II1
Houston Dynamo FC II1
Minnesota United II0
FC Cincinnati II1
New York City II0