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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tacoma Defiance v Los Angeles FC II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Starfire Sports
Tacoma Defiance 41%Draw 22%Los Angeles FC II 36% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.62
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultTacoma Defiance to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Los Angeles FC II travel to face Tacoma Defiance on Monday 27 April in the MLS Next Pro, with Starfire Sports the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Los Angeles FC II are 6th (upper half) with 45.

Current form

Tacoma Defiance, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to St. Louis City II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Los Angeles FC II, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Portland Timbers II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Los Angeles FC II, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Tacoma Defiance.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 1.7 xG, Los Angeles FC II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 41%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC II 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Los Angeles FC II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacoma Defiance41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.75
Los Angeles FC II36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
3.31Expected goals
1.69Tacoma Defiance xG
1.62Los Angeles FC II xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.7 – 1.6 Los Angeles FC II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacoma Defiance to win ✓41%2.432.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betTacoma Defiance (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapLos Angeles FC II +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.821.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
First team to scoreTacoma Defiance to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance ✓24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Tacoma Defiance – last 4

LLLL
18 Aprvs St. Louis City II1–2L
13 Apr@ Vancouver Whitecaps II1–2L
23 Marvs Austin II0–1L
9 Mar@ Houston Dynamo FC II0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Los Angeles FC II – last 3

LWL
16 Aprvs Portland Timbers II0–1L
29 Mar@ Vancouver Whitecaps II3–2W
9 Mar@ The Town1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tacoma Defiance and Los Angeles FC II.

Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II?

On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Los Angeles FC II 36%.

How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II?

Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Los Angeles FC II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II?

Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.