Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Sporting KC II vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting KC II welcome Tacoma Defiance to Swope Soccer Village for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Monday 4 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Sporting KC II are 13th, upper half, on 23 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting KC II, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vancouver Whitecaps II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Los Angeles FC II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting KC II 1.7 xG, Tacoma Defiance 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting KC II 33%, draw 21%, Tacoma Defiance 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (51%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting KC II 1–2 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting KC II33%fair 3.03 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.70
Tacoma Defiance46%fair 2.18 · @2.30
3.78Expected goals
1.66Sporting KC II xG
2.12Tacoma Defiance xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Sporting KC II 1.7 – 2.1 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tacoma Defiance to win✗
46%
2.18
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Tacoma Defiance (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Sporting KC II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
First team to score
Tacoma Defiance to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Tacoma Defiance ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Sporting KC II – last 5
WLLLL
20 Apr
vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs North Texas
1–4
L
23 Mar
vs Minnesota United II
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Real Monarchs
0–5
L
28 Feb
@ St. Louis City II
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Tacoma Defiance – last 5
WLLLL
27 Apr
vs Los Angeles FC II
4–1
W
18 Apr
vs St. Louis City II
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Austin II
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Houston Dynamo FC II
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting KC II and Tacoma Defiance.
What is the prediction for Sporting KC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sporting KC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers Sporting KC II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tacoma Defiance 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting KC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting KC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is Sporting KC II 1–2 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting KC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Sporting KC II vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Swope Soccer Village.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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