Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓6% · fair 15.81
Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tacoma Defiance travel to face Austin II on Monday 11 May in the MLS Next Pro, with Parmer Filed the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Austin II are 1st, leading the league, on 65 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Austin II, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over North Texas, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Los Angeles FC II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Austin II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.6 for Tacoma Defiance.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Tacoma Defiance 0–1 Austin II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Austin II 1.9 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Austin II 56%, draw 22%, Tacoma Defiance 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Austin II to win (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin II 1–0 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Austin II56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
Tacoma Defiance22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
2.92Expected goals
1.91Austin II xG
1.00Tacoma Defiance xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Austin II 1.9 – 1.0 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Austin II to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers Austin II have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tacoma Defiance 22%.
How many goals will there be in Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is Austin II 1–0 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Parmer Filed.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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