North Texas 59%Draw 20%Sporting KC II 21%Expected goals 2.36 – 1.29
59%
Betarazi pick
North Texas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultNorth Texas to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
North Texas vs Sporting KC II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: North Texas v Sporting KC II in the MLS Next Pro, played at Choctaw Stadium. In the table, North Texas are 10th, upper half, on 40 points after 28 matches; Sporting KC II are 13th (upper half) with 23. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
North Texas, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Minnesota United II, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sporting KC II, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Colorado Rapids II, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours North Texas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Sporting KC II.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting KC II 1–4 North Texas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give North Texas 2.4 xG, Sporting KC II 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – North Texas 59%, draw 20%, Sporting KC II 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was North Texas to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Texas 2–1 Sporting KC II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
North Texas59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.70
Sporting KC II21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
3.65Expected goals
2.36North Texas xG
1.29Sporting KC II xG
54%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: North Texas 2.4 – 1.3 Sporting KC II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
Our pick is North Texas to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
On our numbers North Texas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting KC II 21%.
How many goals will there be in North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
Our predicted score is North Texas 2–1 Sporting KC II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
North Texas vs Sporting KC II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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