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Austin II v St. Louis City II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Parmer Filed
4–1
FT
Austin II 50%Draw 24%St. Louis City II 26% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.00
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultAustin II to win ✓50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.52

Austin II vs St. Louis City II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Monday 18 May: Austin II v St. Louis City II in the MLS Next Pro, played at Parmer Filed. In the table, Austin II are 1st, leading the league, on 65 points after 28 matches; St. Louis City II are 7th (upper half) with 44. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Austin II, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Colorado Rapids II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

St. Louis City II, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tacoma Defiance, away. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours St. Louis City II, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Austin II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austin II 1.8 xG, St. Louis City II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Austin II 50%, draw 24%, St. Louis City II 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin II 2–1 St. Louis City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austin II50%fair 1.99 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.35
St. Louis City II26%fair 3.83 · @2.90
2.84Expected goals
1.84Austin II xG
1.00St. Louis City II xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Austin II 1.8 – 1.0 St. Louis City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustin II to win ✓50%1.992.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betAustin II (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapSt. Louis City II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreAustin II to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultAustin II ahead at half-time ✓42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Austin II / FT Austin II ✓36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6%16.52–

Recent results

Austin II – last 6

WWWWWL
14 May@ Colorado Rapids II2–0W
11 Mayvs Tacoma Defiance3–0W
3 May@ North Texas2–0W
23 Mar@ Tacoma Defiance1–0W
16 Marvs North Texas1–0W
2 Marvs Minnesota United II2–4L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

St. Louis City II – last 3

WWW
18 Apr@ Tacoma Defiance2–1W
16 Mar@ Ventura County3–2W
28 Febvs Sporting KC II4–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Austin II and St. Louis City II.

Austin II vs St. Louis City II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin II282107+3365
2Houston Dynamo FC II2818010+2052
3Minnesota United II2815013+445
4St. Louis City II2814014+244
5North Texas2814014+140
6Sporting KC II287021-3923
7Colorado Rapids II286022-2421

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austin II vs St. Louis City II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Austin II vs St. Louis City II?

On our numbers Austin II have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Louis City II 26%.

How many goals will there be in Austin II vs St. Louis City II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austin II vs St. Louis City II?

Our predicted score is Austin II 2–1 St. Louis City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Austin II vs St. Louis City II?

Austin II vs St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Parmer Filed.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.