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Toronto II v Philadelphia Union II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · York Lions Stadium
Toronto II 35%Draw 24%Philadelphia Union II 40% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.55
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union II to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Philadelphia Union II travel to face Toronto II on Saturday 30 May in the MLS Next Pro, with York Lions Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Toronto II are 12th, upper half, on 39 points after 28 matches; Philadelphia Union II are 11th (upper half) with 43.

Current form

Toronto II, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Connecticut FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Philadelphia Union II, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to New England II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Toronto II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Philadelphia Union II.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Toronto II 1–0 Philadelphia Union II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toronto II 1.5 xG, Philadelphia Union II 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto II 35%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union II 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto II 1–1 Philadelphia Union II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toronto II35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.20
Philadelphia Union II40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
3.09Expected goals
1.54Toronto II xG
1.55Philadelphia Union II xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Toronto II 1.5 – 1.5 Philadelphia Union II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhiladelphia Union II to win ✗40%2.492.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.50
Draw no betPhiladelphia Union II (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapToronto II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scorePhiladelphia Union II to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Philadelphia Union II / FT Philadelphia Union II ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.91–

Recent results

Toronto II – last 6

WLLWWW
16 May@ Connecticut FC2–0W
8 Mayvs New York RB II1–2L
4 May@ FC Cincinnati II0–5L
25 Aprvs New York City II2–1W
18 Aprvs Philadelphia Union II1–0W
19 Mar@ New York City II5–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Philadelphia Union II – last 3

LLL
14 Mayvs New England II0–1L
18 Apr@ Toronto II0–1L
15 Marvs Connecticut FC1–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Toronto II v Philadelphia Union II1–0
Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew II2817011+648
2New England II2816012+548
3New York City II2816012+647
4Connecticut FC2816012+746
5New York RB II2815013+1046
6Philadelphia Union II2814014-343
7Toronto II2813015-839
8FC Cincinnati II287021-3020

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II?

On our numbers Toronto II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union II 40%.

How many goals will there be in Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II?

Our predicted score is Toronto II 1–1 Philadelphia Union II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II?

Toronto II vs Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.