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Tacoma Defiance v Houston Dynamo FC II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Starfire Sports
Tacoma Defiance 40%Draw 23%Houston Dynamo FC II 38% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.56
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultTacoma Defiance to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.58

Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Thursday 18 June: Tacoma Defiance v Houston Dynamo FC II in the MLS Next Pro, played at Starfire Sports. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Houston Dynamo FC II are 4th (among the top four) with 52.

Current form

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Portland Timbers II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Houston Dynamo FC II, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ventura County, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Houston Dynamo FC II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Tacoma Defiance.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Houston Dynamo FC II 4–0 Tacoma Defiance.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 1.7 xG, Houston Dynamo FC II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 40%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo FC II 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Houston Dynamo FC II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacoma Defiance40%fair 2.51 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.60
Houston Dynamo FC II38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
3.23Expected goals
1.68Tacoma Defiance xG
1.56Houston Dynamo FC II xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.7 – 1.6 Houston Dynamo FC II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacoma Defiance to win ✓40%2.512.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betTacoma Defiance (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapHouston Dynamo FC II +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.721.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
First team to scoreTacoma Defiance to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.58–

Recent results

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

LWWLWL
31 May@ Portland Timbers II0–1L
23 Mayvs Ventura County1–0W
18 May@ Vancouver Whitecaps II2–0W
11 May@ Austin II0–3L
27 Aprvs Los Angeles FC II4–1W
18 Aprvs St. Louis City II1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo FC II – last 6

LWWWWW
7 Jun@ Ventura County1–3L
24 May@ Portland Timbers II3–0W
4 May@ Colorado Rapids II3–1W
16 Marvs Portland Timbers II5–0W
9 Marvs Tacoma Defiance4–0W
2 Marvs Colorado Rapids II2–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Mar 2026Houston Dynamo FC II v Tacoma Defiance4–0
Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?

On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Houston Dynamo FC II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?

Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Houston Dynamo FC II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?

Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.