Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 22 June the MLS Next Pro brings Tacoma Defiance against Real Monarchs at Starfire Sports. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33.
Current form
Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Houston Dynamo FC II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Real Monarchs, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Portland Timbers II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Real Monarchs.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 2.0 xG, Real Monarchs 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 46%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacoma Defiance46%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.75
Real Monarchs32%fair 3.11 · @2.60
3.37Expected goals
1.96Tacoma Defiance xG
1.40Real Monarchs xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 2.0 – 1.4 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tacoma Defiance to win✓
46%
2.15
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Tacoma Defiance (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Real Monarchs +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Tacoma Defiance to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Tacoma Defiance ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Tacoma Defiance – last 6
WLWWLW
18 Jun
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
2–1
W
31 May
@ Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
23 May
vs Ventura County
1–0
W
18 May
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–0
W
11 May
@ Austin II
0–3
L
27 Apr
vs Los Angeles FC II
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Monarchs – last 6
WLLWWL
13 Jun
vs Portland Timbers II
4–1
W
8 Jun
@ The Town
0–3
L
30 May
vs Sporting KC II
1–3
L
25 May
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
3–1
W
21 May
vs Colorado Rapids II
2–0
W
13 Apr
@ Ventura County
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacoma Defiance and Real Monarchs.
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 32%.
How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.