Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tacoma Defiance v Real Monarchs: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Starfire Sports
1–0
FT
Tacoma Defiance 46%Draw 21%Real Monarchs 32% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.40
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultTacoma Defiance to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 22 June the MLS Next Pro brings Tacoma Defiance against Real Monarchs at Starfire Sports. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33.

Current form

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Houston Dynamo FC II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Real Monarchs, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Portland Timbers II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Real Monarchs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 2.0 xG, Real Monarchs 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 46%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacoma Defiance46%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.75
Real Monarchs32%fair 3.11 · @2.60
3.37Expected goals
1.96Tacoma Defiance xG
1.40Real Monarchs xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 2.0 – 1.4 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacoma Defiance to win ✓46%2.152.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.76–
Draw no betTacoma Defiance (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapReal Monarchs +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.851.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreTacoma Defiance to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultTacoma Defiance ahead at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance ✗31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

WLWWLW
18 Junvs Houston Dynamo FC II2–1W
31 May@ Portland Timbers II0–1L
23 Mayvs Ventura County1–0W
18 May@ Vancouver Whitecaps II2–0W
11 May@ Austin II0–3L
27 Aprvs Los Angeles FC II4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Monarchs – last 6

WLLWWL
13 Junvs Portland Timbers II4–1W
8 Jun@ The Town0–3L
30 Mayvs Sporting KC II1–3L
25 May@ Vancouver Whitecaps II3–1W
21 Mayvs Colorado Rapids II2–0W
13 Apr@ Ventura County0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tacoma Defiance and Real Monarchs.

Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?

On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 32%.

How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?

Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?

Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.