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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ventura County v Real Monarchs: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Dignity Health Sports Park
3–1
FT
Ventura County 49%Draw 21%Real Monarchs 31% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.28
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Ventura County to win @ 2.60 – our chance 49% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVentura County to win ✓49% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Ventura County vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Ventura County v Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro, played at Dignity Health Sports Park. In the table, Ventura County are 3rd, among the top four, on 53 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ventura County, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colorado Rapids II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Real Monarchs, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tacoma Defiance, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Ventura County 2–0 Real Monarchs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ventura County 2.2 xG, Real Monarchs 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ventura County 49%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 31%.
  • Price worth noting: Ventura County to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ventura County 2–1 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ventura County49%fair 2.05 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Real Monarchs31%fair 3.28 · @2.20
3.44Expected goals
2.15Ventura County xG
1.28Real Monarchs xG
52%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Ventura County 2.2 – 1.3 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVentura County to win ✓49%2.052.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betVentura County (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapReal Monarchs +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
First team to scoreVentura County to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultVentura County ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ventura County / FT Ventura County ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Ventura County – last 6

DWWLLW
14 Junvs Colorado Rapids II1–1D
7 Junvs Houston Dynamo FC II3–1W
31 Mayvs Vancouver Whitecaps II2–1W
23 May@ Tacoma Defiance0–1L
17 May@ Los Angeles FC II2–3L
7 May@ Sporting KC II2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Monarchs – last 6

LWLLWW
22 Jun@ Tacoma Defiance0–1L
13 Junvs Portland Timbers II4–1W
8 Jun@ The Town0–3L
30 Mayvs Sporting KC II1–3L
25 May@ Vancouver Whitecaps II3–1W
21 Mayvs Colorado Rapids II2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Ventura County v Real Monarchs2–0
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?

On our numbers Ventura County have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?

Our predicted score is Ventura County 2–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?

Ventura County vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.