Value bet: Ventura County to win @ 2.60 – our chance 49% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVentura County to win ✓49% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Ventura County v Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro, played at Dignity Health Sports Park. In the table, Ventura County are 3rd, among the top four, on 53 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ventura County, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colorado Rapids II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Real Monarchs, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tacoma Defiance, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Ventura County 2–0 Real Monarchs.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ventura County 2.2 xG, Real Monarchs 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ventura County 49%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 31%.
Price worth noting: Ventura County to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ventura County 2–1 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ventura County49%fair 2.05 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Real Monarchs31%fair 3.28 · @2.20
3.44Expected goals
2.15Ventura County xG
1.28Real Monarchs xG
52%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ventura County 2.2 – 1.3 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
On our numbers Ventura County have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
Our predicted score is Ventura County 2–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ventura County vs Real Monarchs?
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.