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Minnesota United II v Tacoma Defiance: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Allianz Field
2–2
FTPens 4–1
Minnesota United II 52%Draw 22%Tacoma Defiance 26% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.30
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultMinnesota United II to win ✗52% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Minnesota United II welcome Tacoma Defiance to Allianz Field for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Monday 29 June (01:00 WAT). In the table, Minnesota United II are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41.

Current form

Minnesota United II, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Los Angeles FC II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Monarchs, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Minnesota United II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Minnesota United II 1.9 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Minnesota United II 52%, draw 22%, Tacoma Defiance 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minnesota United II 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Minnesota United II52%fair 1.92 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.70
Tacoma Defiance26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
3.18Expected goals
1.88Minnesota United II xG
1.30Tacoma Defiance xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Minnesota United II 1.9 – 1.3 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinnesota United II to win ✗52%1.921.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betMinnesota United II (draw no bet)66%1.51–
Asian handicapTacoma Defiance +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.701.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
First team to scoreMinnesota United II to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultMinnesota United II ahead at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minnesota United II / FT Minnesota United II ✗32%3.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Minnesota United II – last 6

LWLWWL
25 Jun@ Los Angeles FC II0–1L
20 Junvs St. Louis City II5–2W
14 Junvs Austin II1–3L
9 Junvs Sporting KC II4–3W
24 Mayvs Colorado Rapids II2–0W
14 May@ Portland Timbers II1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

WWLWWL
22 Junvs Real Monarchs1–0W
18 Junvs Houston Dynamo FC II2–1W
31 May@ Portland Timbers II0–1L
23 Mayvs Ventura County1–0W
18 May@ Vancouver Whitecaps II2–0W
11 May@ Austin II0–3L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Minnesota United II and Tacoma Defiance.

Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

On our numbers Minnesota United II have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tacoma Defiance 26%.

How many goals will there be in Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our predicted score is Minnesota United II 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.