Minnesota United II 52%Draw 22%Tacoma Defiance 26%Expected goals 1.88 – 1.30
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMinnesota United II to win ✗52% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Minnesota United II welcome Tacoma Defiance to Allianz Field for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Monday 29 June (01:00 WAT). In the table, Minnesota United II are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41.
Current form
Minnesota United II, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Los Angeles FC II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Monarchs, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Minnesota United II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Minnesota United II 1.9 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Minnesota United II 52%, draw 22%, Tacoma Defiance 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minnesota United II 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Minnesota United II52%fair 1.92 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.70
Tacoma Defiance26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
3.18Expected goals
1.88Minnesota United II xG
1.30Tacoma Defiance xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Minnesota United II 1.9 – 1.3 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minnesota United II to win✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Minnesota United II (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Tacoma Defiance +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
First team to score
Minnesota United II to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Minnesota United II ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minnesota United II / FT Minnesota United II✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Minnesota United II – last 6
LWLWWL
25 Jun
@ Los Angeles FC II
0–1
L
20 Jun
vs St. Louis City II
5–2
W
14 Jun
vs Austin II
1–3
L
9 Jun
vs Sporting KC II
4–3
W
24 May
vs Colorado Rapids II
2–0
W
14 May
@ Portland Timbers II
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tacoma Defiance – last 6
WWLWWL
22 Jun
vs Real Monarchs
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
2–1
W
31 May
@ Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
23 May
vs Ventura County
1–0
W
18 May
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–0
W
11 May
@ Austin II
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minnesota United II and Tacoma Defiance.
What is the prediction for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers Minnesota United II have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tacoma Defiance 26%.
How many goals will there be in Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is Minnesota United II 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.