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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tacoma Defiance v Portland Timbers II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Starfire Sports
Tacoma Defiance 38%Draw 25%Portland Timbers II 37% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.32
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultTacoma Defiance to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 6 July the MLS Next Pro brings Tacoma Defiance against Portland Timbers II at Starfire Sports. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Portland Timbers II are 2nd (among the top four) with 57. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Minnesota United II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Portland Timbers II, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to The Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Portland Timbers II.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Portland Timbers II 1–0 Tacoma Defiance.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 1.3 xG, Portland Timbers II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 38%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers II 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Portland Timbers II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacoma Defiance38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.50
Portland Timbers II37%fair 2.72 · @2.62
2.62Expected goals
1.30Tacoma Defiance xG
1.32Portland Timbers II xG
63%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.3 – 1.3 Portland Timbers II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacoma Defiance to win ✗38%2.612.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.44
Draw no betTacoma Defiance (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapTacoma Defiance +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scorePortland Timbers II to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portland Timbers II / FT Portland Timbers II ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.31–

Recent results

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

DWWLWW
29 Jun@ Minnesota United II2–2D
22 Junvs Real Monarchs1–0W
18 Junvs Houston Dynamo FC II2–1W
31 May@ Portland Timbers II0–1L
23 Mayvs Ventura County1–0W
18 May@ Vancouver Whitecaps II2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portland Timbers II – last 6

LWLWWL
27 Junvs The Town2–3L
21 Jun@ Colorado Rapids II2–0W
13 Jun@ Real Monarchs1–4L
6 Jun@ Vancouver Whitecaps II1–0W
31 Mayvs Tacoma Defiance1–0W
24 Mayvs Houston Dynamo FC II0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Portland Timbers II v Tacoma Defiance1–0
Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portland Timbers II 37%.

How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Portland Timbers II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.