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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

The Town v Tacoma Defiance: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · PayPal Park
0–1
FT
The Town 55%Draw 22%Tacoma Defiance 23% Expected goals 2.02 – 1.35
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultThe Town to win ✗55% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

The Town vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

The Town welcome Tacoma Defiance to PayPal Park for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Monday 13 July (01:00 WAT). In the table, The Town are 8th, upper half, on 42 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

The Town, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Sporting KC II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Portland Timbers II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give The Town 2.0 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – The Town 55%, draw 22%, Tacoma Defiance 23%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: The Town 2–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

The Town55%fair 1.83 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.85
Tacoma Defiance23%fair 4.26 · @3.80
3.37Expected goals
2.02The Town xG
1.35Tacoma Defiance xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: The Town 2.0 – 1.3 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe Town to win ✗55%1.831.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.78–
Draw no betThe Town (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapTacoma Defiance +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreThe Town to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultThe Town ahead at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT The Town / FT The Town ✗33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

The Town – last 6

WWLWLW
8 Julvs Sporting KC II6–1W
27 Jun@ Portland Timbers II3–2W
18 Jun@ Vancouver Whitecaps II2–3L
8 Junvs Real Monarchs3–0W
18 Mayvs Portland Timbers II0–1L
2 May@ Ventura County3–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

LDWWLW
6 Julvs Portland Timbers II0–2L
29 Jun@ Minnesota United II2–2D
22 Junvs Real Monarchs1–0W
18 Junvs Houston Dynamo FC II2–1W
31 May@ Portland Timbers II0–1L
23 Mayvs Ventura County1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between The Town and Tacoma Defiance.

The Town vs Tacoma Defiance head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?

On our numbers The Town have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tacoma Defiance 23%.

How many goals will there be in The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our predicted score is The Town 2–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?

The Town vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.