Portland Timbers II v Real Monarchs Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPortland Timbers II to win ✓57% · @1.75

Double chancePortland Timbers II or draw ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Monarchs travel to face Portland Timbers II on Sunday 26 July in the MLS Next Pro, with Providence Park the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Portland Timbers II are 2nd, among the top four, on 57 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Portland Timbers II, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over St. Louis City II, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Monarchs, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Tacoma Defiance, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Portland Timbers II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Real Monarchs.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Real Monarchs 4–1 Portland Timbers II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portland Timbers II 1.9 xG, Real Monarchs 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Timbers II 57%, draw 22%, Real Monarchs 22%.
Lower-risk option: Portland Timbers II or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Portland Timbers II or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Timbers II 1–0 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portland Timbers II57%fair 1.76 · @1.75

Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.60

Real Monarchs22%fair 4.64 · @3.50

2.80Expected goals

1.85Portland Timbers II xG

0.95Real Monarchs xG

62%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%

1–111%

2–010%

2–110%

3–06%

0–06%

From our goals model: Portland Timbers II 1.9 – 0.9 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Portland Timbers II to win ✓	57%	1.76	1.75
Double chance	Portland Timbers II or draw ✓	78%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.61	1.44
Draw no bet	Portland Timbers II (draw no bet) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Asian handicap	Real Monarchs +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Portland Timbers II to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Portland Timbers II ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Portland Timbers II / FT Portland Timbers II ✗	37%	2.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.12	–

Portland Timbers II – last 6

WDWLWL

19 Jul	@ St. Louis City II	2–1	W
12 Jul	@ Los Angeles FC II	0–0	D
6 Jul	@ Tacoma Defiance	2–0	W
27 Jun	vs The Town	2–3	L
21 Jun	@ Colorado Rapids II	2–0	W
13 Jun	@ Real Monarchs	1–4	L

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Real Monarchs – last 6

LWDLLW

20 Jul	vs Tacoma Defiance	2–4	L
12 Jul	vs Vancouver Whitecaps II	2–1	W
6 Jul	@ Los Angeles FC II	2–2	D
28 Jun	@ Ventura County	1–3	L
22 Jun	@ Tacoma Defiance	0–1	L
13 Jun	vs Portland Timbers II	4–1	W

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers II	28	19	9	+8	57
2	Ventura County	28	18	10	+22	53
3	Los Angeles FC II	28	14	14	+2	45
4	The Town	28	14	14	+15	42
5	Tacoma Defiance	28	14	14	-4	41
6	Real Monarchs	28	12	16	-17	33
7	Vancouver Whitecaps II	28	10	18	-23	27

Team

Pts

+22

+15

-4

-17

Vancouver Whitecaps II

-23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs?

Our pick is Portland Timbers II or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs?

On our numbers Portland Timbers II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Monarchs 22%.

How many goals will there be in Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs?

Our predicted score is Portland Timbers II 1–0 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs?

Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Portland Timbers II v Real Monarchs: numbers & prediction