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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tacoma Defiance v Vancouver Whitecaps II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Starfire Sports
Tacoma Defiance 54%Draw 21%Vancouver Whitecaps II 25% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.41
53%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultTacoma Defiance to win ✓54% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78

Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tacoma Defiance welcome Vancouver Whitecaps II to Starfire Sports for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Sunday 2 August (03:00 WAT). In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Vancouver Whitecaps II are 12th (upper half) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colorado Rapids II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Vancouver Whitecaps II, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with St. Louis City II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Vancouver Whitecaps II.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Vancouver Whitecaps II 0–2 Tacoma Defiance. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tacoma Defiance 1 win, Vancouver Whitecaps II 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 2.2 xG, Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 54%, draw 21%, Vancouver Whitecaps II 25%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (53%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacoma Defiance54%fair 1.85 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.70
Vancouver Whitecaps II25%fair 3.97 · @3.25
3.57Expected goals
2.16Tacoma Defiance xG
1.41Vancouver Whitecaps II xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
2–07%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 2.2 – 1.4 Vancouver Whitecaps II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacoma Defiance to win ✓54%1.851.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betTacoma Defiance (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapVancouver Whitecaps II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.881.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
First team to scoreTacoma Defiance to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultTacoma Defiance ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance ✓35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

WWWLDW
27 Julvs Colorado Rapids II2–1W
20 Jul@ Real Monarchs4–2W
13 Jul@ The Town1–0W
6 Julvs Portland Timbers II0–2L
29 Jun@ Minnesota United II2–2D
22 Junvs Real Monarchs1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vancouver Whitecaps II – last 6

DLLWLW
27 Jul@ St. Louis City II1–1D
23 Julvs Austin II0–4L
12 Jul@ Real Monarchs1–2L
8 Julvs Ventura County3–2W
28 Jun@ Colorado Rapids II0–1L
18 Junvs The Town3–2W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Vancouver Whitecaps II v Tacoma Defiance0–2
13 Apr 2026Vancouver Whitecaps II v Tacoma Defiance2–1
Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?

On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vancouver Whitecaps II 25%.

How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?

Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?

Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.