North Texas 42%Draw 23%Tacoma Defiance 35%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.50
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultNorth Texas to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tacoma Defiance travel to face North Texas on Sunday 9 August in the MLS Next Pro, with Choctaw Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:45 WAT. In the table, North Texas are 10th, upper half, on 40 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
North Texas, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Ventura County, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Vancouver Whitecaps II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for North Texas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give North Texas 1.7 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – North Texas 42%, draw 23%, Tacoma Defiance 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Texas 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
North Texas42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.60
Tacoma Defiance35%fair 2.85 · @2.60
3.20Expected goals
1.70North Texas xG
1.50Tacoma Defiance xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: North Texas 1.7 – 1.5 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Texas to win✓
42%
2.38
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
North Texas (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Tacoma Defiance +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
North Texas to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Texas / FT North Texas✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
North Texas – last 6
LDWLWD
1 Aug
@ Ventura County
1–6
L
26 Jul
vs Los Angeles FC II
2–2
D
19 Jul
@ The Town
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Colorado Rapids II
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs St. Louis City II
3–0
W
11 Jun
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tacoma Defiance – last 6
WWWWLD
2 Aug
vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
4–2
W
27 Jul
vs Colorado Rapids II
2–1
W
20 Jul
@ Real Monarchs
4–2
W
13 Jul
@ The Town
1–0
W
6 Jul
vs Portland Timbers II
0–2
L
29 Jun
@ Minnesota United II
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Texas and Tacoma Defiance.
What is the prediction for North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers North Texas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tacoma Defiance 35%.
How many goals will there be in North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is North Texas 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chattanooga1
Atlanta United II0
Carolina Core2
Huntsville City0
Houston Dynamo FC II3
Minnesota United II1
Colorado Rapids II0
St. Louis City II0
Connecticut FC1
New England II2