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North Texas v Minnesota United II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Choctaw Stadium
1–1
FTPens 5–4
North Texas 41%Draw 21%Minnesota United II 37% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.57
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: North Texas to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNorth Texas to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69

North Texas vs Minnesota United II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Minnesota United II travel to face North Texas on Sunday 23 August in the MLS Next Pro, with Choctaw Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:45 WAT. In the table, North Texas are 10th, upper half, on 40 points after 28 matches; Minnesota United II are 5th (upper half) with 45.

Current form

North Texas, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Austin II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Minnesota United II, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with The Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Minnesota United II 0–2 North Texas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give North Texas 1.7 xG, Minnesota United II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – North Texas 41%, draw 21%, Minnesota United II 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: North Texas to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Texas 1–1 Minnesota United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

North Texas41%fair 2.43 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Minnesota United II37%fair 2.67 · @2.20
3.23Expected goals
1.66North Texas xG
1.57Minnesota United II xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: North Texas 1.7 – 1.6 Minnesota United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorth Texas to win ✗41%2.432.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.40
Draw no betNorth Texas (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapMinnesota United II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreNorth Texas to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT North Texas / FT North Texas ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

North Texas – last 6

DLWLDW
20 Augvs Austin II0–0D
16 Augvs Portland Timbers II0–3L
9 Augvs Tacoma Defiance3–1W
1 Aug@ Ventura County1–6L
26 Julvs Los Angeles FC II2–2D
19 Jul@ The Town1–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Minnesota United II – last 6

DLLWLD
9 Augvs The Town1–1D
1 Augvs Portland Timbers II1–2L
20 Jul@ Sporting KC II0–1L
13 Jul@ Austin II3–2W
5 Jul@ Houston Dynamo FC II0–4L
29 Junvs Tacoma Defiance2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Minnesota United II v North Texas0–2
North Texas vs Minnesota United II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin II282107+3365
2Houston Dynamo FC II2818010+2052
3Minnesota United II2815013+445
4St. Louis City II2814014+244
5North Texas2814014+140
6Sporting KC II287021-3923
7Colorado Rapids II286022-2421

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for North Texas vs Minnesota United II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win North Texas vs Minnesota United II?

On our numbers North Texas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minnesota United II 37%.

How many goals will there be in North Texas vs Minnesota United II?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for North Texas vs Minnesota United II?

Our predicted score is North Texas 1–1 Minnesota United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is North Texas vs Minnesota United II?

North Texas vs Minnesota United II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.