Tacoma Defiance v Sporting KC II: numbers & prediction

Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Tacoma Defiance v Sporting KC II in the MLS Next Pro, played at Starfire Sports. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Sporting KC II are 13th (upper half) with 23. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Los Angeles FC II, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Sporting KC II, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Los Angeles FC II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sporting KC II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 2.3 xG, Sporting KC II 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 61%, draw 18%, Sporting KC II 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tacoma Defiance to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 2–1 Sporting KC II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.