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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Monarchs v Tacoma Defiance: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Zions Bank Stadium
3–0
FT
Real Monarchs 39%Draw 21%Tacoma Defiance 40% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.70
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultTacoma Defiance to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Monarchs welcome Tacoma Defiance to Zions Bank Stadium for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Monday 31 August (02:30 WAT). In the table, Real Monarchs are 11th, upper half, on 33 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41.

Current form

Real Monarchs, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Colorado Rapids II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sporting KC II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Real Monarchs.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended Real Monarchs 2–4 Tacoma Defiance. The last 2 head-to-heads: Real Monarchs 0 wins, Tacoma Defiance 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Monarchs 1.7 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Monarchs 39%, draw 21%, Tacoma Defiance 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Monarchs39%fair 2.54 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Tacoma Defiance40%fair 2.50 · @2.45
3.38Expected goals
1.68Real Monarchs xG
1.70Tacoma Defiance xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Real Monarchs 1.7 – 1.7 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacoma Defiance to win ✗40%2.502.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.40
Draw no betTacoma Defiance (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapReal Monarchs +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreTacoma Defiance to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.12–

Recent results

Real Monarchs – last 6

LLLLLW
24 Aug@ Colorado Rapids II1–4L
9 Aug@ Houston Dynamo FC II0–3L
3 Aug@ St. Louis City II0–3L
26 Jul@ Portland Timbers II0–1L
20 Julvs Tacoma Defiance2–4L
12 Julvs Vancouver Whitecaps II2–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

WLLWWW
25 Augvs Sporting KC II4–0W
17 Aug@ Los Angeles FC II3–4L
9 Aug@ North Texas1–3L
2 Augvs Vancouver Whitecaps II4–2W
27 Julvs Colorado Rapids II2–1W
20 Jul@ Real Monarchs4–2W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jul 2026Real Monarchs v Tacoma Defiance2–4
22 Jun 2026Tacoma Defiance v Real Monarchs1–0
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

On our numbers Real Monarchs have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tacoma Defiance 40%.

How many goals will there be in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our predicted score is Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Zions Bank Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.