North Texas 47%Draw 21%Real Monarchs 32%Expected goals 1.89 – 1.53
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNorth Texas to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
North Texas vs Real Monarchs: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Monarchs travel to face North Texas on Saturday 5 September in the MLS Next Pro, with Choctaw Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:45 WAT. In the table, North Texas are 10th, upper half, on 40 points after 28 matches; Real Monarchs are 11th (upper half) with 33.
Current form
North Texas, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with St. Louis City II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Real Monarchs, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Tacoma Defiance, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours North Texas, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Real Monarchs.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give North Texas 1.9 xG, Real Monarchs 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – North Texas 47%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 32%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Texas 1–1 Real Monarchs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
North Texas47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.50
Real Monarchs32%fair 3.11 · @2.75
3.42Expected goals
1.89North Texas xG
1.53Real Monarchs xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: North Texas 1.9 – 1.5 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Texas to win✓
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Draw no bet
North Texas (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Real Monarchs +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
North Texas to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Texas / FT North Texas✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
North Texas – last 6
DDDLWL
29 Aug
@ St. Louis City II
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Minnesota United II
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Austin II
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Portland Timbers II
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Tacoma Defiance
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Ventura County
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Monarchs – last 6
WLLLLL
31 Aug
vs Tacoma Defiance
3–0
W
24 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids II
1–4
L
9 Aug
@ Houston Dynamo FC II
0–3
L
3 Aug
@ St. Louis City II
0–3
L
26 Jul
@ Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
20 Jul
vs Tacoma Defiance
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Texas and Real Monarchs.
What is the prediction for North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
On our numbers North Texas have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 32%.
How many goals will there be in North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
Our predicted score is North Texas 1–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
North Texas vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Houston Dynamo FC II0
Austin II2
Inter Miami II1
Orlando City II4
Philadelphia Union II1
Columbus Crew II0
Toronto II2
FC Cincinnati II1
Carolina Core2
New England II2