The Town 64%Draw 21%Tacoma Defiance 15%Expected goals 2.24 – 1.03
85%
Betarazi pick
The Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: The Town to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultThe Town to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceThe Town or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
The Town vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
The Town welcome Tacoma Defiance to PayPal Park for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Sunday 6 September (03:30 WAT). In the table, The Town are 8th, upper half, on 42 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
The Town, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Los Angeles FC II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Tacoma Defiance, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Monarchs, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for The Town.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jul 2026) it ended The Town 0–1 Tacoma Defiance.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give The Town 2.2 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – The Town 64%, draw 21%, Tacoma Defiance 15%.
Lower-risk option: The Town or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: The Town to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was The Town or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: The Town 2–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
The Town64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Tacoma Defiance15%fair 6.63 · @3.75
3.27Expected goals
2.24The Town xG
1.03Tacoma Defiance xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: The Town 2.2 – 1.0 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is The Town or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers The Town have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tacoma Defiance 15%.
How many goals will there be in The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is The Town 2–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
The Town vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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