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Tacoma Defiance v Portland Timbers II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Starfire Sports
1–1
FTPens 4–3
Tacoma Defiance 37%Draw 21%Portland Timbers II 41% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.52
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Portland Timbers II to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPortland Timbers II to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Tacoma Defiance v Portland Timbers II in the MLS Next Pro, played at Starfire Sports. In the table, Tacoma Defiance are 9th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Portland Timbers II are 2nd (among the top four) with 57. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ventura County, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Portland Timbers II, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with St. Louis City II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Portland Timbers II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Tacoma Defiance.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jul 2026) it ended Tacoma Defiance 0–2 Portland Timbers II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tacoma Defiance 0 wins, Portland Timbers II 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacoma Defiance 1.4 xG, Portland Timbers II 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacoma Defiance 37%, draw 21%, Portland Timbers II 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Portland Timbers II to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Portland Timbers II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacoma Defiance37%fair 2.69 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
Portland Timbers II41%fair 2.41 · @2.62
2.94Expected goals
1.42Tacoma Defiance xG
1.52Portland Timbers II xG
66%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.4 – 1.5 Portland Timbers II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortland Timbers II to win ✗41%2.412.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.531.44
Draw no betPortland Timbers II (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapTacoma Defiance +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scorePortland Timbers II to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portland Timbers II / FT Portland Timbers II ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

LWLWLL
14 Sep@ Ventura County0–3L
6 Sep@ The Town2–1W
31 Aug@ Real Monarchs0–3L
25 Augvs Sporting KC II4–0W
17 Aug@ Los Angeles FC II3–4L
9 Aug@ North Texas1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Portland Timbers II – last 6

DDWDWD
14 Sepvs St. Louis City II1–1D
7 Sepvs Vancouver Whitecaps II0–0D
30 Augvs Austin II2–1W
24 Aug@ Ventura County2–2D
16 Aug@ North Texas3–0W
8 Augvs Los Angeles FC II0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jul 2026Tacoma Defiance v Portland Timbers II0–2
31 May 2026Portland Timbers II v Tacoma Defiance1–0
Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portland Timbers II 41%.

How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Portland Timbers II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?

Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.