USM Alger 62%Draw 22%Paradou AC 16%Expected goals 1.78 – 0.86
62%
Betarazi pick
USM Alger to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultUSM Alger to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceUSM Alger or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
USM Alger vs Paradou AC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
USM Alger welcome Paradou AC to Stade du 5 Juillet 1962 for a Ligue 1 fixture on Friday 22 May (18:00 WAT).
Current form
USM Alger, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Olympique Akbou, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Paradou AC, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to MB Rouisset, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USM Alger 1.8 xG, Paradou AC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USM Alger 62%, draw 22%, Paradou AC 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was USM Alger to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Alger 1–0 Paradou AC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USM Alger62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
Paradou AC16%fair 6.10 · @6.00
2.65Expected goals
1.78USM Alger xG
0.86Paradou AC xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: USM Alger 1.8 – 0.9 Paradou AC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USM Alger to win✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Double chance
USM Alger or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
USM Alger (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Paradou AC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
USM Alger to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
USM Alger ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USM Alger / FT USM Alger✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Recent results
USM Alger – last 6
WDWDLL
19 May
vs Olympique Akbou
1–0
W
12 May
vs Mostaganem
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs CR Belouizdad
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ CA Batna
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ ASO Chlef
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ MC Alger
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paradou AC – last 6
LWWLLL
19 May
@ MB Rouisset
1–2
L
7 May
vs CS Constantine
5–3
W
17 Apr
@ El Bayadh
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Khenchela
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs CR Belouizdad
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Mostaganem
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USM Alger and Paradou AC.
What is the prediction for USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
Our pick is USM Alger to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
On our numbers USM Alger have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paradou AC 16%.
How many goals will there be in USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
Our predicted score is USM Alger 1–0 Paradou AC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
USM Alger vs Paradou AC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
