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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

USM Alger v JS Saoura: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Algeria
Sat 21 Feb 2026
USM Alger 57%Draw 28%JS Saoura 15% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.64
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.51

6/10Rating
1.51Odds

Picks by market

ResultUSM Alger to win57% · @1.58
Double chanceUSM Alger or draw85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.53

USM Alger vs JS Saoura: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

JS Saoura travel to face USM Alger on Saturday 21 February in the Ligue 1 – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, USM Alger are 6th, upper half, on 14 points after 7 matches; JS Saoura are 14th (in the drop zone) with 6.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give USM Alger 1.4 xG, JS Saoura 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – USM Alger 57%, draw 28%, JS Saoura 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: USM Alger or draw (85%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Alger 1–0 JS Saoura. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

USM Alger57%fair 1.76 · @1.58
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.40
JS Saoura15%fair 6.54 · @5.25
2.07Expected goals
1.43USM Alger xG
0.64JS Saoura xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: USM Alger 1.4 – 0.6 JS Saoura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUSM Alger to win57%1.761.58
Double chanceUSM Alger or draw85%1.181.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.871.50
Draw no betUSM Alger (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapJS Saoura +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals63%1.601.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals63%1.581.51
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.091.05
First team to scoreUSM Alger to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT USM Alger / FT USM Alger34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.53–

Recent results

USM Alger

No recent results on record.

JS Saoura

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between USM Alger and JS Saoura.

USM Alger vs JS Saoura head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CR Belouizdad8620+620
2JS Kabylie8521+817
3MC Alger7511+716
4MB Rouisset9432+315
5MC Oran8431+315
6USM Alger7421+514
7Olympique Akbou8332+312
8JS El Biar9324+111
9Témouchent9243-310
10ES Setif8233+29
11Ben Aknoun8152-18
12CS Constantine9216-77
13Khenchela8134-56
14JS Saoura8134-66
15ASO Chlef9054-65
16US Biskra9045-104

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for USM Alger vs JS Saoura?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.

Who will win USM Alger vs JS Saoura?

On our numbers USM Alger have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 28% and JS Saoura 15%.

How many goals will there be in USM Alger vs JS Saoura?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for USM Alger vs JS Saoura?

Our predicted score is USM Alger 1–0 JS Saoura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is USM Alger vs JS Saoura?

USM Alger vs JS Saoura (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.