Value bet: USM Alger to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUSM Alger to win61% · @1.90
Double chanceUSM Alger or draw84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.28
USM Alger vs CS Constantine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Ligue 1 brings USM Alger against CS Constantine at Stade du 5 Juillet. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, USM Alger are 6th, upper half, on 14 points after 7 matches; CS Constantine are 12th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
CS Constantine, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over JSM Bejaia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USM Alger 1.8 xG, CS Constantine 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USM Alger 61%, draw 24%, CS Constantine 16%.
Lower-risk option: USM Alger or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: USM Alger to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Alger 2–0 CS Constantine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USM Alger61%fair 1.65 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.00
CS Constantine16%fair 6.27 · @4.20
2.59Expected goals
1.83USM Alger xG
0.76CS Constantine xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: USM Alger 1.8 – 0.8 CS Constantine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USM Alger to win
61%
1.65
1.90 ▲
Double chance
USM Alger or draw
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.53
Draw no bet
USM Alger (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
USM Alger -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
USM Alger to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
USM Alger ahead at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USM Alger / FT USM Alger
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.28
–
Recent results
USM Alger – last 2
WD
4 Mar
vs JS Saoura
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ El Bayadh
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CS Constantine – last 4
WDWW
3 Mar
vs JSM Bejaia
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs CR Belouizdad
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ ASO Chlef
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs ES Setif
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USM Alger and CS Constantine.
What is the prediction for USM Alger vs CS Constantine?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win USM Alger vs CS Constantine?
On our numbers USM Alger have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CS Constantine 16%.
How many goals will there be in USM Alger vs CS Constantine?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USM Alger vs CS Constantine?
Our predicted score is USM Alger 2–0 CS Constantine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is USM Alger vs CS Constantine?
USM Alger vs CS Constantine (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 5 Juillet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
