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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mostaganem v Paradou AC: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Algeria · Stade Belhamiti Larbi
3–2
FT
Mostaganem 38%Draw 27%Paradou AC 35% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.18
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMostaganem to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60

Mostaganem vs Paradou AC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 17 March the Ligue 1 brings Mostaganem against Paradou AC at Stade Belhamiti Larbi. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Paradou AC, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to MC Alger, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mostaganem 1.2 xG, Paradou AC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mostaganem 38%, draw 27%, Paradou AC 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mostaganem 1–1 Paradou AC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mostaganem38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.95
Paradou AC35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.22Mostaganem xG
1.18Paradou AC xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Mostaganem 1.2 – 1.2 Paradou AC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMostaganem to win ✓38%2.632.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betMostaganem (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapParadou AC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.271.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreMostaganem to score first46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mostaganem / FT Mostaganem ✓21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.60–

Recent results

Mostaganem – last 2

LD
13 Mar@ ASO Chlef0–1L
21 Febvs JS Kabylie2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Paradou AC – last 4

LLLL
13 Marvs MC Alger0–2L
6 Mar@ JS Kabylie2–3L
27 Febvs MC Oran1–2L
21 Feb@ Olympique Akbou3–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mostaganem and Paradou AC.

Mostaganem vs Paradou AC head-to-head page →

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?

On our numbers Mostaganem have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paradou AC 35%.

How many goals will there be in Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?

Our predicted score is Mostaganem 1–1 Paradou AC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mostaganem vs Paradou AC?

Mostaganem vs Paradou AC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Belhamiti Larbi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.