USM Alger vs ES Setif: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
USM Alger welcome ES Setif to Stade du 5 Juillet for a Ligue 1 fixture on Wednesday 18 March (22:00 WAT). In the table, USM Alger are 6th, upper half, on 14 points after 7 matches; ES Setif are 10th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
USM Alger, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Maniema Union, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
ES Setif, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ASO Chlef, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USM Alger 1.6 xG, ES Setif 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USM Alger 57%, draw 26%, ES Setif 17%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Alger 1–0 ES Setif. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USM Alger57%fair 1.76 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
ES Setif17%fair 5.79 · @5.80
2.38Expected goals
1.57USM Alger xG
0.82ES Setif xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: USM Alger 1.6 – 0.8 ES Setif expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USM Alger to win✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Double chance
USM Alger or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
USM Alger (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
ES Setif +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
USM Alger to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USM Alger / FT USM Alger✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
USM Alger – last 3
LWD
15 Mar
@ Maniema Union
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs JS Saoura
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ El Bayadh
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ES Setif – last 3
LWL
6 Mar
@ ASO Chlef
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs MB Rouisset
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ CS Constantine
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USM Alger and ES Setif.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win USM Alger vs ES Setif?
On our numbers USM Alger have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ES Setif 17%.
How many goals will there be in USM Alger vs ES Setif?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USM Alger vs ES Setif?
Our predicted score is USM Alger 1–0 ES Setif, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is USM Alger vs ES Setif?
USM Alger vs ES Setif (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 5 Juillet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
