Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: USM Alger to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUSM Alger to win ✗42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.61
ASO Chlef vs USM Alger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
USM Alger travel to face ASO Chlef on Sunday 5 April in the Ligue 1, with Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, ASO Chlef are 15th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; USM Alger are 6th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
ASO Chlef, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CR Belouizdad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
USM Alger, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to MC Alger, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ASO Chlef, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for USM Alger.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASO Chlef 0.9 xG, USM Alger 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASO Chlef 30%, draw 28%, USM Alger 42%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: USM Alger to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASO Chlef 0–1 USM Alger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASO Chlef30%fair 3.31 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.80
USM Alger42%fair 2.40 · @2.80
2.10Expected goals
0.86ASO Chlef xG
1.23USM Alger xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: ASO Chlef 0.9 – 1.2 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USM Alger to win✗
42%
2.40
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.53
Draw no bet
USM Alger (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
ASO Chlef +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
USM Alger to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USM Alger / FT USM Alger✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.61
–
Recent results
ASO Chlef – last 5
LWWLW
18 Mar
@ CR Belouizdad
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Mostaganem
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs ES Setif
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs CS Constantine
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ El Bayadh
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
USM Alger – last 6
LLWLWD
1 Apr
@ MC Alger
0–1
L
25 Mar
vs JS Kabylie
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs ES Setif
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Maniema Union
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs JS Saoura
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ El Bayadh
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASO Chlef and USM Alger.
What is the prediction for ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?
On our numbers ASO Chlef have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and USM Alger 42%.
How many goals will there be in ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is ASO Chlef 0–1 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?
ASO Chlef vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paradou AC0
Mostaganem0
El Bayadh1