Value bet: USM Alger to win @ 4.33 – our chance 28% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBen Aknoun to win ✗46% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 4 June: Ben Aknoun v USM Alger in the Ligue 1, played at 20 August 1955 Stadium. In the table, Ben Aknoun are 11th, lower half, on 8 points after 8 matches; USM Alger are 6th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Ben Aknoun, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CR Belouizdad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
USM Alger, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CR Belouizdad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ben Aknoun 1.3 xG, USM Alger 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ben Aknoun 46%, draw 26%, USM Alger 28%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: USM Alger to win @4.33 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ben Aknoun 1–1 USM Alger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ben Aknoun46%fair 2.19 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
USM Alger28%fair 3.53 · @4.33
2.49Expected goals
1.28Ben Aknoun xG
1.20USM Alger xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ben Aknoun 1.3 – 1.2 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ben Aknoun to win✗
46%
2.19
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Ben Aknoun (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
USM Alger +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ben Aknoun to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ben Aknoun / FT Ben Aknoun✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Ben Aknoun – last 6
LWLWDL
24 May
@ CR Belouizdad
1–3
L
19 May
vs Mostaganem
3–0
W
21 Apr
vs MC Alger
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs ASO Chlef
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ ES Setif
1–1
D
1 Apr
@ JS Kabylie
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
USM Alger – last 6
DLLWWD
2 Jun
vs CR Belouizdad
1–1
D
30 May
@ MB Rouisset
0–1
L
25 May
@ Khenchela
1–2
L
22 May
vs Paradou AC
4–2
W
19 May
vs Olympique Akbou
1–0
W
12 May
vs Mostaganem
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ben Aknoun and USM Alger.
What is the prediction for Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Ben Aknoun have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and USM Alger 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is Ben Aknoun 1–1 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at 20 August 1955 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
