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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ben Aknoun v Mostaganem: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Algeria · 20 August 1955 Stadium
3–0
FT
Ben Aknoun 60%Draw 23%Mostaganem 16% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.88
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBen Aknoun to win ✓60% · @1.35
Double chanceBen Aknoun or draw ✓84% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mostaganem travel to face Ben Aknoun on Tuesday 19 May in the Ligue 1, with 20 August 1955 Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Ben Aknoun, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to MC Alger, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Mostaganem, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with USM Alger, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ben Aknoun, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Mostaganem.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ben Aknoun 1.6 xG, Mostaganem 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ben Aknoun 60%, draw 23%, Mostaganem 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ben Aknoun 1–0 Mostaganem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ben Aknoun60%fair 1.66 · @1.35
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
Mostaganem16%fair 6.08 · @9.00
2.51Expected goals
1.62Ben Aknoun xG
0.88Mostaganem xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Ben Aknoun 1.6 – 0.9 Mostaganem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBen Aknoun to win ✓60%1.661.35
Double chanceBen Aknoun or draw ✓84%1.201.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.862.15 ▲
Draw no betBen Aknoun (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapMostaganem +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreBen Aknoun to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ben Aknoun / FT Ben Aknoun ✓33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Ben Aknoun – last 6

LWDLWD
21 Aprvs MC Alger2–3L
10 Aprvs ASO Chlef2–1W
5 Apr@ ES Setif1–1D
1 Apr@ JS Kabylie1–3L
18 Marvs MB Rouisset3–2W
13 Mar@ CS Constantine0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mostaganem – last 6

DLLLWL
12 May@ USM Alger1–1D
7 Mayvs JS Saoura0–4L
10 Aprvs Khenchela0–3L
5 Apr@ CR Belouizdad0–7L
17 Marvs Paradou AC3–2W
13 Mar@ ASO Chlef0–1L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ben Aknoun and Mostaganem.

Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CR Belouizdad8620+620
2JS Kabylie8521+817
3MC Alger7511+716
4MB Rouisset9432+315
5MC Oran8431+315
6USM Alger7421+514
7Olympique Akbou8332+312
8JS El Biar9324+111
9Témouchent9243-310
10ES Setif8233+29
11Ben Aknoun8152-18
12CS Constantine9216-77
13Khenchela8134-56
14JS Saoura8134-66
15ASO Chlef9054-65
16US Biskra9045-104

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem?

On our numbers Ben Aknoun have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mostaganem 16%.

How many goals will there be in Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem?

Our predicted score is Ben Aknoun 1–0 Mostaganem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem?

Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem (Ligue 1) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at 20 August 1955 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.