Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✗55% · @1.44
Double chancePaide or draw ✗79% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Vaprus vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vaprus welcome Paide to Parnu Rannastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Saturday 7 March (13:30 WAT). In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.2 xG, Paide 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 21%, draw 23%, Paide 55%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vaprus21%fair 4.70 · @5.80
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.33
Paide55%fair 1.81 · @1.44
2.95Expected goals
1.21Vaprus xG
1.73Paide xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Vaprus 1.2 – 1.7 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✗
55%
1.81
1.44
Double chance
Paide or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
Paide (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Vaprus +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Paide to score first
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Vaprus – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Trans Narva
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Paide – last 2
WW
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vaprus and Paide.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Vaprus vs Paide?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paide 55%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Paide?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Paide?
Vaprus vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
